DimWit Politics

Are We on the Brink of World War III?

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Are We on the Brink of World War III?

Are We on the Brink of World War III?
January 10
17:34 2020

Despite a relatively low key response so far from Iran, with a “show of force” missile attack that caused no casualties, fears of a major conflict between the US and Iran that could explode to a World War III scenario continue.

Will the measured response by Iran, and President Trump’s decision not to take further US military action in retaliation to the airstrikes on two Iraqi bases that housed US forces, open the door to negotiations? Or, will relations between the US and Iran continue to deteriorate as the world waits to see if Tehran will enact further “revenge” on Washington – as they said they would even after Tuesday’s missile attacks.

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International Crisis Group Iran Project Director Ali Vaez has argued that Iran may “disproportionately” retaliate against the US. While speaking on Bloomberg Mr. Vaez warned of a similar incident where 280 Americans lost their lives in an attack on a US Barracks in Beirut in 1983.

“Usually Ayatollah Khomeini’s modus operandi is that he would respond in a proportionate fashion. So we might see a response in Iraq against a senior US military or diplomatic official,” Vaez said. Presumably, such a vicious attack would bring more than the additional economic sanctions imposed by President Trump in the wake of the non-lethal missile strikes.

Prior to the missile attacks on the two bases in Western Iraq, Ayatollah Khomeini threatened to attack the White House with a “crushing and powerful retaliation” in response to the death of General Qassem Soleimani.

While taking credit for the strikes, Khamenei tacitly acknowledged on state TV that they hadn’t amounted to much of retaliation for the killing of Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani. “Last night, they were given one slap,” Khamenei said. “Such military actions are not enough as far the importance of retaliation is concerned. What’s important is that their corruption-creating presence should end.”

Right now, it seems that neither Iran nor America wants to head into an all-out shooting war, however, one misstep by either party could drag much of the world into a more heated conflict.

There is no question, who is the more powerful of the two countries, Iran faces total extinction, should it be drawn into open warfare with the US. However, history has taught us that when faced with a potentially existential threat as severe as annihilation, any state has only two options — stand down and negotiate, or hit the source of that threat hard enough to make it back down.

As president Trump said in his address to the nation on Wednesday, “Iran appears to be standing down.”  But for how long?

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Michael F. Strong

Michael F. Strong

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