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Buttigieg tops Iowa poll. So what?

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Buttigieg tops Iowa poll. So what?

Buttigieg tops Iowa poll. So what?
November 21
16:04 2019

One of the few bits of news that has been able to slip through the impeachment smokescreen has been the latest polling results in Iowa.

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg has soared to the top with 25 percent support from Iowa caucus goers in a recent FOX News poll.  He has an impressive lead over the rest of the so-called frontrunners, who are in a statistical tie – with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren (15%), former Vice President Joe Biden (15%) and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders (9%).  All three of Buttigieg’s opponents have seen their numbers slide down in recent weeks.

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Buttigieg may not be gaining on his own merits as much as benefit from his opponents losing ground.  Perhaps the Hunter Biden controversy is taking its toll.  Maybe Warren’s “plans” are just too crazy.  Maybe Sanders’ recent health scare has taken the heart out of his campaign.

But does this make Buttigieg the frontrunner?  Hardly. He is just the latest “mole” to stick his head out of the hole in the Democrats’ Whack-A-Mole political contest.  There was California Senator Kamala Harris, former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke, Sanders and Warren – and of course Biden.

They have all had their moment of great promise and potential only to get “whacked.”  Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg hardly got his head out of the ground before he was whacked – following in the footsteps of his colleague, Mayor Bill de Blasio.

There are several reasons why Buttigieg has been able to get his head out of the hole.  Despite his age, he is among the more appealing Democrat candidates.  He is moderate in terms of today’s Democratic Party.  He is very articulate in a calming manner – a nice contrast to the hysterical rhetoric of most of the other Democrat presidential contenders.

When Buttigieg gets whacked – as he most likely will — it will be by black voters.  He cannot seem to connect with them.  It has to do with his firing of a black police commissioner in South Bend and his handling of one of those white-on-black police shootings.  Recently, he had to reprint his campaign brochure because it used photos to suggest black support – even photos of a person living in Africa.

While Buttigieg’s gayness is a plus with the progressive Democratic base, it does not go over well in the black community.  Iowa may be a very progressive states for Democrats, but it is very white.

If not in New Hampshire – where Democrat voters are very radical left – Buttigieg is likely to get whacked in South Carolina – where a majority of Democrat primary voters are black.  He is waaaaay behind the other front runners with only six percent support.  Biden is still the run-away leader with 34 percent – with Warren at less than half with 16 percent.

In many ways, Buttigieg is the most appealing of the platoon of presidential candidates.  He is more appealing than Biden because he looks like he could actually put in a full day of work.  But his biggest problem is being a bit too moderate – less radical – than the Democrat base.  That means that there is a whack in his future.

So, there ‘tis.

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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1 Comment

  1. Rick
    Rick November 23, 22:51

    “He is just the latest “mole” to stick his head out of the hole in the Democrats’ Whack-A-Mole political contest.”
    Funny stuff. Thanks for the laugh.

    Reply to this comment

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