DimWit Politics

Swalwell out … Steyer in

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Swalwell out … Steyer in

Swalwell out … Steyer in
July 11
18:10 2019

Since it was newsworthy when California Congressman Eric Swalwell entered the race for the Democrat nomination for President of the United State, it is somewhat newsworthy that he has become the first of the two dozen wannabes who have or will soon add their names to the list of dropouts.

Sayonara Swalwell

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Swalwell saw his path to the presidency – a path only he could see – by being the number one anti-gun candidate.  He had plans to outlaw bump stocks, assault rifles, oversize magazines and close the so-called gun show loophole.  That would be the issue that would eventually have Democrat voters stampeding to his candidacy – or so he thought.

There were two problems with that strategy.  American voters – even the most ardent anti-gun voter – look to presidential candidates to address more than one issue. There is an old saying … If you only have a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail.

Swalwell’s second – and more critical problem – was that his gun proposals are shared by virtually every other Democrat in the race.  He was offering nothing unique.

One can only wonder when reality set in for Swalwell.  When did his visions of occupying the Oval Office evaporate in the chilling wind of reality?  It probably had something to do with the fact that he was relegated to the anonymous edge of the debate stage where he managed to surface only once before returning to debate-stage obscurity.  If he was interviewed in the spin room after the debate, it never made it to the airwaves.

Throughout his campaign, Swalwell struggled to get into single digits in the polls – languishing at a fraction of one percent.  His only consolation was that New York Mayor Bill de Blasio’s initial polling showed the oversized city executive at … zero.

Swalwell must have noticed that his appearances on CNN and MSNBC actually declined after he announced his presidential candidacy.  The media folks were too busy with his competitors.  Swalwell was much more popular in the press as an anti-Trump congressman – attacking the President on every conceivable issue — than just another presidential candidate in an overcrowded field.

Swalwell will not be missed largely because he never was noticed in the first place.

Enter Steyer stage left

Swalwell’s departure does not mean that the large field of presidential candidates will be reduced by one.  Billionaire Tom Steyer took up the slack by entering the race at any moment.

If the name is not familiar to you, his image maybe.  Steyer is that folksy looking megalomaniac on those ubiquitous television ads calling for the impeachment of President Trump.  The billionaire has spent tens of millions of dollars running ads for more than 18 months.

His gimmick is to solicit signatures for his petition to impeach Trump.  Of course, the petition means nothing.  At the onset of the campaign, Steyer might have appeared to be on a Quixotic enterprise – with little chance of actually getting the President impeached.  Even with the publication of the Mueller Report and several congressional Democrats calling for impeachment, the prospect is dim – and the possibility of having the Senate remove Trump from office is nil.  But that may not have been Steyer’s plan in the first place.

So why would a smart guy like Steyer waste all that money on a hopeless effort?  Well … I answered that question way back in October of 2017 – about the time he launched his ad campaign.  I wrote:

Impeaching the President, however, may not be his [Steyer’s] primary goal. A more rational explanation would be to get Steyer’s name out there for a future political run.  In that regard, it is a pretty good stunt.  He can depend on the elitist press to give him maximum exposure.  He has already appeared on the most obvious opinion-as-news shows.   

Signatories to the unofficial petition will be required to provide both their email address and their zip code.  Now that can be worth millions to a political activist and potential candidate.  It becomes a target market for anti-Trump fundraising.  Steyer might get his money back just selling the list or using it as a quid pro quo.

I would imagine that by now, Steyer has hundreds of thousands – perhaps millions – of emails of those wanting Trump ousted one way or the other.  During his ad campaign, Steyer never solicited money – and why would he? – but just those email addresses.

Steyer’s presidential ambitions were well known by the year 2016 B.T. (Before Trump).  The impeachment ads were step one – name recognition and emails.  But do not be so certain that Steyer really expects to be the Democratic Party standard bearer in 2020.  This may only be step two.

Steyer is smart enough to know that his chances this year are pretty slim.  However, entering the race now at least gets his name associated with the presidency.  He can garner some support and then make a deal with a frontrunner through his endorsement for some quid pro quo – maybe a Cabinet position or even an outside chance at the vice-presidential slot.

The fallback plan is for 2024 or even 2028.  At 62, Steyer is young enough to make a run for the presidency in either year.  If Trump is re-elected – or Biden or Sanders becomes President – it is possible that 2024 will be an open race with Trump finishing his second term or the septuagenarians being too old for a second term.  If it is a younger Democrat, Steyer can wait until 2028.  This may be just a positioning move.

In the ranks of Democratic presidential candidates, it is good-bye to Swalwell and hello to Steyer.

So, there ‘tis.

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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  1. bootsjay
    bootsjay July 12, 19:21

    Steyer just another Liberal Commie that will not win.

    Reply to this comment
  2. Wisewolf
    Wisewolf July 12, 20:33

    Steyer has more money than brains. He is as left as it gets and is a real danger to President Trump. He will try to buy the nomination because he has been talking about using $100,000,000.00 of his own money to be elected.

    Reply to this comment
  3. Mike
    Mike July 15, 03:02

    I have Democrat friends that doubt anything positive about President Trump. What proof do you have that the picture was taken during Obama’s term?

    Reply to this comment

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