DimWit Politics

Impeachment will not lead to removal from office … and Nadler knows it

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Impeachment will not lead to removal from office … and Nadler knows it

Impeachment will not lead to removal from office … and Nadler knows it
April 24
09:30 2019

(Before we get into the issue of impeachment, I have to laugh at the header photo. Since when do congressmen have their own photo backdrops? New York Congressman Jerry Nadler is a little guy with a “yuge” ego. But, I digress.)

Impeachment is like an indictment listing the charges according to the prosecution. That sets up a trial in the Senate. We have had only two such trials in the past – one for President Lincoln’s Democrat Vice President Andrew Johnson and the more contemporary one involving President Clinton. Notably, both prevailed in the Senate and retained the presidency.

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There is a difference between the Johnson/Clinton cases and what Democrats are proposing today. There was a possibility that Johnson and Clinton could have been removed. The outcome in the Senate was uncertain even as the House Impeachment hearings were being conducted.

While the vote to remove Johnson was only one vote short of conviction, the vote on Clinton was 12 votes short of the two-thirds (67 votes) requirement. And while today’s Democrats castigate Republican senators for not joining the #NeverTrump Resistance Movement, it should be noted that not a single Senate Democrat voted to remove Clinton from office.

And that is the point.

While nothing in politics is impossible, the likelihood of removing Trump by the vote of the Senate is so remote that it deserves zero consideration in the impeachment debate. It is not going to happen – and the Democrats know it.

It is often stated that impeachment is a political – not a criminal – process. That is why all this talk to impeach or not impeach is pure political calculation. Knowing that they will not be able to boot Trump out of the Oval Office, Democrats are divided on the political value of impeachment hearings as a means to sully Trump and Republicans in general going into the 2020 General Election. It has nothing to do with “high crimes and misdemeanors” as the Constitution requires, but political posturing.

The division on the issue of impeachment within the Democratic Party is not whether he can or should be removed. Hell, every Democrat would love to have that as a realistic goal. Realizing that removal is not going to happen, they must calculate impeachment purely on partisan political grounds. Will the mere process of impeachment help or hurt Democrats in 2020?

Those we might call the “hot-head Democrats” believe impeachment can lead to removal and that would be the best of all possible outcomes. The more pragmatic Democrats – including most of House leadership – sees great danger in pursuing impeachment, especially after the Mueller Report knocked the blocks out from under their number one accusation – collusion with Russia – and minimally made obstruction of justice a dubious – albeit controversial — case.

The pragmatic Democrats understand that they may not be able to retain control of the House – much less take the Senate or the presidency – if their entire campaign amounts to nothing more than anti-Trumpism. By their own admission, they need to talk to the American public about the issues that really matter to them – not the political game that matters to the politicians, the pundits and the press.

Impeachment hearing will suck all the oxygen out of the common space. It will dominate the news because the desire to “get Trump” has become a psychotic obsession among those in the media who believe they control the public debate as a government-given right. (I did not use the terms “God-given right” because liberal theology rejects that premise.)

The Democrats platoon of presidential candidates are all over the map on impeachment. The most radical are, of course, the most rabid – as well as the ones who need to get some attention for their largely invisible campaigns. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is virtually demanding that her colleagues in the House commence impeachment hearings NOW! Others – like Senator Cory Booker – are not ready to commit to impeachment but refuse to oppose the possibility in the future.

It is not likely that any of the presidential candidates will come out against impeachment because of the ferocity of the Resistance Movement among with a noisy minority within the Democrat base. But the Warrens and Bookers also understand that impeachment, with today’s meaning, is not a road to removal. Just a ginned-up game of partisan politics to be played out until November of 2020.
So, there ‘tis

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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