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Why is Hispanic support for Trump growing?

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Why is Hispanic support for Trump growing?

Why is Hispanic support for Trump growing?
April 11
14:49 2019

If you believe the anti-Trump media narratives, President Trump has a particularly difficult time with minorities. After all, the Democrats and their media allies tag Trump as a racist in almost every news program throughout the day.

Of course, there was not a lot of coverage in the bubble-encased elitist east coast media of the recent NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist poll. In examining the results, it should be kept in mind that our public broadcasting systems drifts to the port side – the left for those unfamiliar with seafaring terminology.

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It seems that a solid 50 percent of Latinos give the President a thumbs up for the work he is doing. That figure is up almost 20 points from December of 2018 when the same question was asked.

This probably comes as quite a shock to those who obsess on MSNBC’s interpretation of the news. Of course, these are the same poor souls who believed the left wing media when it stated with virtual certainty that Hillary Clinton would win the 2016 General Election, that Trump was going to fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller, that Trump would be found guilty of criminal collusion and obstruction of justice and any number of other false narratives presented as news.

The same poll shows that Trump’s support among whites and blacks has dropped recently – which makes the Hispanic support even more interesting.

In terms of the white vote, the drop seems to suggest that the left’s accusatory mantra of white privilege, the toxic white male gene, and Trump being a white supremacist is dubious, at best. In terms of black support, Trump is still doing better than many past Republican candidates.

The black vote has been overwhelmingly Democrat since Franklin Roosevelt. The fact that he is doing as well as he does suggest that a lot of blacks do not see him as a racist. If Trump has a problem going into the 2020 election, it is probably with the white suburban vote – especially the women.

But what is driving up Trump’s Hispanic support? To find out, we must look beyond the simplistic and misleading racial narratives advanced by Democrats and much of the media.

First, we have to remember that Trump did pretty well as a Republican among Hispanics in 2016 — garnering approximately 32 percent of the Hispanic vote. That was a better showing than Mitt Romney, who got 26 percent in 2012. While the difference is not statistically huge, the fact that Trump was constantly – if not entirely accurately –hammered in the press as being hateful of Hispanics makes the trend more curious.

Despite another two years of racist accusations against Trump – especially in view of Trump’s threats against those crossing the border illegally –the President’s numbers among Hispanics have held steady for two years. And now they have dramatically increased. What, pray tell, is going on?

The reasons are most surely complicated. Some of it may be due to intra-ethnic prejudices. The largest populations of Hispanics in America are Mexican, Puerto Rican and Cuban. The majority of those creating the crisis at the border are from Central America – Guatemala , Honduras and El Salvador – and as far south as Colombia, Ecuador and Peru.

There is a sense of national rivalry that potentially creates opposition to the new migrants even within the greater Hispanic community. Hispanics are, by far, not a monolithic group no matter how the left wants to homogenize them.

There may be another reason for support of Trump’s border policies that draws on my own experiences in the Hispanic community. The media assumption that resident and citizen Hispanics are generally favorable to the entrance of masses of unvetted migrants into the United States is not necessarily valid.

There is a realization that the drugs and violent gangbangers who slip into America are most likely to bring their drugs and violence into the Hispanic neighborhoods – posing a threat to both the older and younger members of the community.

Parents worry about having their sons forced into gangs and their daughters raped. Like Trump, they understand that not all the migrants are good people. Even a small fraction of bad actors can wreak havoc on a community – and have been doing so.

Then there is the possibility that the Trump pugnacious style found offensive by many – including this writer – is more acceptable in the Hispanic community. That possibility was not of my invention. A very prominent Mexican political leader once explained to me that Hispanics tend to like the “strongman” leader types.

He attributed it to a long history of living under authoritarian rule in their home countries. Personally, I have no basis to endorse or reject that observation, so I pass it along for others to decide.

Finally, the Hispanic community has experienced the benefits of a surging economy. The Hispanic and black inner-cities have both experienced comparatively better economic conditions – more jobs – than at any time in modern history. They also tend to be supportive of Trump’s efforts to reform judicial sentencing, which has led to an incarceration crisis for minorities.

Then there are the social issues. Hispanics tend to be pro-life. They are more likely to follow their largely Catholic beliefs on matters like homosexuality. They are more likely to support gun-owners’ rights. More than 50 percent of the legal guns in America are owned by individuals with less than $50,000 in annual income. Between 15 and 20 percent of Hispanic households have at least one gun.

Whatever the reasons – and I expect disagreement with my attempt at explanations — it appears that Trump is doing better with Hispanics than is alleged in the evening news. Anyone else with a better explanation?
So, there ‘tis.

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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6 Comments

  1. Sergio Pastor
    Sergio Pastor April 12, 20:48

    The biggest scandal in American politics is that Democrats have been conning minorities into the belief that we are perpetual victims’.
    Racial division and class warfare are central to the Democrat party platform of today. Viva TRUMP and I am a DEMOCRAT LATINO

    Reply to this comment
  2. Belfast
    Belfast April 12, 21:06

    It seems that every time you give praise or credit to Trump you have to slip in some personality blemish or fault and tell us you agree with it. You’ve done it again.
    You are coming across as a fair weather friend, cut it out.

    Reply to this comment
  3. Theresa Grieshaber
    Theresa Grieshaber April 16, 04:49

    What is your source for saying that Hispanic support for Trump is rising? Also, to say “Hispanic” is like saying “European”. There are many different kinds of Hispanics. Cuban Americans skew conservative, while Mexican Americans skew more Democratic. Also, it depends on what age group you are talking about in an Hispanic community. I mentioned Europeans because as everyone knows that there are big differences between people from places like Denmark, and places like Greece or Italy. Yet both groups are Europeans. The same is true of Hispanics residing in America.
    As a librarian, I must insist that you make ONLY fact-based assertions and CITE YOUR SOURCES. OTHERWISE I might mistake you for a CLUELESS CONSERVATIVE. We wouldn’t want that would we?

    Reply to this comment
  4. Don
    Don April 16, 14:17

    Only children would find his “pugnacious” behavior offensive. That would be most who’ve grown up in the last 50 or so years. Truth is truth no matter how spoken and is not offensive. People are tired of the PC, hypocritical BS from any politician of which we’ve suffered for many years while said politicians do nothing but fend for themselves on OUR dime. Hispanics, many of whom ARE immigrants, came from areas who suffer under totalitarian garbage and recognize the attempt by the left of establishing it here is the very reason why they support him as he fights against the un-American activities of the Dems and RINOs who are interested solely in themselves which makes them smarter than the average politician of today.

    Reply to this comment
  5. Vienna
    Vienna April 30, 02:32

    It is wrong to characterized President Trump as pugnacious. I believe his manner of response is necessary to shut down the evil, hatred slurs and false accusations by the left. He is an alpha man & alpha men don’t take bull laying down. Our past presidents have been soft and passive so that is what people are use to. President Trump rocks!

    Reply to this comment

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