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The Inevitability of an Impeachment Hearing

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The Inevitability of an Impeachment Hearing

The Inevitability of an Impeachment Hearing
December 10
21:06 2018

With the election of a Democrat House majority, the odds of an impeachment hearing have gone up dramatically – from zero to a bit short of 100 percent. The increased likelihood is not due to any significant changes in what we know about the various investigations surrounding President Trump, his family members, advisors, business associates and others involved with the 2016 campaign. It has more to do with Democrats controlling the House.

The primary motivation behind any impeachment proceeding against Trump is the desire by the Democrats to force Trump out of office in a hyped-up air of controversy that will turn the voting public to the Democrats in 2020. It is often explained that impeachment is not a legal proceeding, but a political process. That knowledge should scare the hell out of any American who cherishes our Founders’ vision of a free Republic, the rule-of-law and the presumption of innocence.

The problem with impeachment is that because it is a purely political process, there are no legal protections. There is no threshold of criminality. A President can be impeached, and even removed from office, by nothing more than political whim and will — for too many parking tickets. It simply requires the minimum number of votes in the House — and Senate, for removal — at any time for any reason. Tradition and culture have prevented the process from being overly politicized – until recently. But times they are a-changin’.

In the first 197 years of our Republic, only one President was impeached – Andrew Johnson — and he was not removed from office. That case involved less than four of those 197 years of a presidential terms in office and one out of 36 different presidents – a 1/36th ratio.

If impeachment proceedings were to begin for Trump, he would be the third president subjected to possible removal from office in the past 44 years – and the total terms impacted would be at least one-half of the presidential years of office within those 44 years. It would be three out of the last nine presidents – a 1/3rd ratio.
This strongly suggests that impeachment – and even the initiation of an impeachment hearing – has been weaponized. It may not be the easiest way to remove a President but going through the initial motions is now deemed to have enormous perceived political advantage.

The calls for impeachment were voiced within hours of Trump’s 2016 triumph. These were not the echoes of a few voices in the wilderness. These demands were emanating from the establishment mainstream media, the halls of Congress and from television ads financed by ambitious billionaires.

Granted, there have been calmer voices wary of the calls for impeachment. They understand that there is a political risk in going too far. Like any other political process, it must have the support from the public. Even though Republicans garnered enough support to impeach Clinton, he won an easy re-election campaign and went on to have a pretty high public approval rating – at least until the #MeToo Movement caste a different light on his decades-old libertine history.

But the impeachment forces on the left are a mob that will not be denied. One Democrat member of Congress after another is appearing on their favored cable news shows with claims that the activities of Trump & Co have far surpassed the threshold of impeachment t and removal from office. Both Trump’s business and his White House administration are being routinely referred to as criminal organizations. Senator Chris Murphy, of Connecticut, is already advancing theories of Trump’s indictment upon leaving office.

There are three levels of activity to consider in the form of questions. Will the House launch a formal impeachment hearing? Will Trump be impeached by the House? And will he be removed from office by the Senate. I would handicap the chances at 90, 50 and 0 percent respectively.

When it comes to launching an impeachment hearing, Democrats will exhibit all the restraint, calmness and cautiousness that is seen in those mobs of shoppers when the Walmart doors open on Black Friday.

So, there ‘tis

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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18 Comments

  1. David
    David December 11, 20:04

    Speaking from an outsider and international viewpoint, present day Americans really do appear to have lost their marbles.
    As one of the largest economies in the world, with a self-esteem so high as to be no longer visible, and an arrogance that invites the arrival of a take-down the likes of which have never been witnessed ever before, I forecast the day will arrive very soon that the greatest of the great will be forced into eating humble pie or starving !
    That Day of Reckoning will be here before the dimwits know, and the deserved retribution will hopefully know no bounds.
    Don’t get me wrong – I love America – just not the present day lunatic asylum that passes for politics and the fawning imbeciles resident in both Congress & Senate all steamed up by an even crazier mainstream media and a few petty criminal billionaires.
    Christmas – enjoy it whilst you can – the forces of evil are emboldened by political stupidity and any one could be the last for the poor old US of A .!

    Reply to this comment
    • Windlesham1
      Windlesham1 December 12, 10:27

      Absolutely agree- but Republicans like an imbecile in the White House so hey can ‘mug off’ the fantasists who believe the American dream while getting food stamps

      Reply to this comment
  2. Patty
    Patty December 11, 20:31

    In the case of an impeachment, I still will be a Republicans! Trump has done no more wrongs and probably a lot less than other presidents over the years.

    Reply to this comment
    • Rick
      Rick December 15, 22:26

      I agree Patty. The Clinton cartel should have been prosecuted way back starting with White Water. My late father taught me this; we were all born with an expiration date. Death is the great equalizer. It is no respecter of age, gender, color, rich or poor, from the top to the bottom of the food chain, death claims us all.

      Reply to this comment
  3. Kathy S.
    Kathy S. December 11, 20:34

    Could you imagine if all the energy put into the hatred of Trump were directed instead at unifying our country and supporting our President? We would be an unstoppable Superpower. It’s so sad to watch the demise of this great nation because of utter nonsense.

    Reply to this comment
  4. Dr. Mike Reeder
    Dr. Mike Reeder December 11, 20:46

    Well, IF the democrats propose an impeachment hearing there must be charges and they must be substantial. The fact that he beat Hilary is not enough. What has he done while in office to warrant such a move? In short, the answer is NOTHING. The democrats can have all the “hearings” they want but it will NOT change the fact that this president has only had the best interests of the American people at heart and worked tirelessly on their behalf. In the court of public opinion it will be a cake walk. Democrats be DAMNED! This will only besmirch the democrats (and those who side with them) and condemn them in the eyes of the public. There IS hope for this Republic!

    Reply to this comment
    • David
      David December 12, 00:04

      You are spot on doctor Mike – as long as there is life in the Republican Party there is hope for America. Somehow that life needs to be kick-started again – even a kick up the *rse may do the trick 😉

      Reply to this comment
    • DG
      DG December 12, 00:54

      We must be watching different presidents. The only interests Trump has ever had is his own. If it doesn’t benefit him in some way, he’s not interested. He couldn’t care less about the American people. It’s all about him, period. Dems do need to proceed with caution, and not bring impeachment proceedings unless there is clear and certain evidence that he has done something to warrant it.

      Reply to this comment
  5. LBB5757
    LBB5757 December 11, 21:40

    I for one believe Trump is using his political postion to further him & his family’s financial gain!
    Am i the only one that read the russian report regarding his golden showers directed towards the obamas.
    I dont know of any other president that has had so many people surrounding him that has been indited or being investigated.
    Its appauling what he is doing to hispanic familys!

    Reply to this comment
  6. Sherman
    Sherman December 11, 21:49

    All the democrats have done for 2 years is bitch and growl and lie and threaten Trump. They have done nothing for this country or its citizens. I just hope enough people have enough sense to see through all the Democrat B S in 2020.

    Reply to this comment
  7. NickP
    NickP December 11, 23:48

    I look forward to it as it will be ANOTHER nail in the hate filled Democrat coffin.

    Anyone hear anything from the Dems about doing anything FOR the American people instead of the illegals?

    Reply to this comment
  8. davidlaing
    davidlaing December 12, 00:13

    It is quite clear to me that the dubious Democrats are in the process of signing their own death warrant, For two years, they’ve had nothing constructive to say, nothing but an endless, vitriolic diatribe against our duly elected president, which can only be silenced by his ultimate removal from office. This lynch mob attitude hasn’t changed or mellowed a bit since the election in 2016, despite the fact that Donald Trump, whom I formerly couldn’t stand, has proven himself more than worthy, in my estimation, to be the leader of the free world. Why this isn’t obvious to Democrats is quite beyond me (even though I once counted myself among them), but I think there are enough people in this country who can appreciate what DT has done to better the lot of most of us that any attempt to impeach him will be met with utter scorn. I think it is incumbent on any of us Americans who have a shred of decency to do everything we can to ensure that the negative machinations of the Democrats result in their own demise. We should call them out for their devious delings, and question the morality of campaigning for the impeachment of arguably the best president this nation has ever had.

    Reply to this comment
  9. Larry
    Larry December 12, 00:48

    In my opinion, the Democrats have painted themselves into a corner and risk infuriating the far left fringe if they don’t pursue impeachment and pushing away moderate liberals if they do. Either way it isn’t going to work out well for them. Their party will become even more fragmented than it already is. Acknowledging and encouraging the extreme left and their views has hurt the Democrats. Witness the fall out from all the nonsense surrounding the Kavenaugh hearings.
    At some point, the party leadership is going to have to avail themselves of realistic advice or they will be left as a fringe party.

    Reply to this comment
  10. Windlesham
    Windlesham December 12, 10:24

    Trump is a prize asshole -he is a liar, a misogynist and likes to pay off hookers with campaign funds-what part of this is too much of a stretch for the tiny mind of a Republican?For the avoidance of doubt his lawyer Cohen is going to prison for the offence-get over yourselves you nuckle dragging fuckwits

    Reply to this comment
  11. JKB
    JKB December 12, 12:10

    The Democrats would have screamed “impeach!” no matter which Republican was elected. It’s not just Trump, it’s the GOP. Impeachment is a tool wielded to stop anything from happening in the next two years by tying up the country until 2020, when the dems think they’ll take back the presidency and Congress. Then they will “immanitize the eschaton” and the “running dogs of imperialism” will be annihilated, don’t you know…

    Reply to this comment
  12. Wendy
    Wendy December 12, 14:16

    This goes back to the Bible – “He
    without sin cast the first stone!”

    Reply to this comment
  13. J.Hamel
    J.Hamel December 13, 04:51

    Trump must be remove of the US presidence. It’s sad for the credibility of the most powerfull country. As canadian I am shy to be the neighbour of a country lead by non respectable president.

    Reply to this comment
    • bgbus1
      bgbus1 January 30, 13:33

      Mr Hamel, good morning ah, I read all about Canadian politics, but I don’t tell you how to run your province. Don’t tell us to get rid of a president you don’t like. By the way, my great grand pa immigrated from Canada to U. P of Michigan over100 yrs ago. Daid he’d rather live with the savages than the Canucks,

      Reply to this comment

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