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Relax, the midterm election is over

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Relax, the midterm election is over

Relax, the midterm election is over
November 02
18:22 2018

As we head into the final weekend of the seemingly endless 2018 midterm, the election is essentially over. The only thing left is the counting of the votes.

Oh, I know that all the final votes have not even been cast yet — and there will be all kinds of polls and advertisements — too many emails and text messages — but the outcome of this election is now in the bag, as they say. Virtually everyone now knows for whom they will vote – or if they will vote at all. Those who will change their minds at the last minute are very few no matter what the pollsters say.

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Still, candidates and political organizations continue to solicit for campaign contributions. Today, I received more than 75 in my email from both Republicans and Democrats. The money they collect will have no impact on the 2018 campaigns. All the advertising, literature and yard signs have already been purchased and deployed. Claiming that this or that candidate desperately needs last-minute money is almost fraudulent. They have no way to spend it in time to have any impact.

Even the get-out-the-vote efforts will have little effect because it is already determined who is going to get out. Campaign workers will be getting those out who are already going to get out – those they already identified. They will be giving rides to the polls to those who already requested them.

Long experience in consulting, managing campaigns and even an occasional run myself has taught me that the last days of a campaign are filled with the most hyperactivity that will actually produce the most minimal results in determining the outcomes of all those races across the nation.

While the partisan media will aggressively try to convince voters to support their preferred party and candidates, they will change very few minds. Nothing they say has not already been said. Whatever influence they might have had has already been expended.

The pollsters will publish their last-minute findings over the course of the next few days, but they will not only not change any votes, but they will be wrong. That is why they have that face-saving, reputation-saving “margin of error.” Many races will be decided beyond those margins of error.

There will be a lot of discussion as to which side is the most energized, but that energy is already fixed – and for the most part expended. Neither side will become more or less energized in these closing days. Yes, there will be all that “sound and fury” that, if not nothing, will signify very little, indeed.

For sure, in extremely close races, 50 or 100 votes can make a difference, but very few races are ever THAT close. The last days of an election are a bit like the Academy Award. The winning name has already been chosen long before they rip open the envelop and say, “The winner is …” The fates of the winners and losers in the 2018 midterm elections is already settled. We just have to rip open the envelope on Tuesday night.

So, there ‘tis.

About Author

Larry Horist

Larry Horist

Larry Horist is a conservative activist with an extensive background in economics, public policy and politics. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman, as well as the White House. He has testified as an expert witness before legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and lectured at major colleges and universities. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He can be reached at lph@thomasandjoyce.com.

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  1. william
    william November 05, 02:17

    I still get emails for donations

    Reply to this comment
  2. AP Hill
    AP Hill November 05, 19:56

    Thanks for the honest article. So true and so on the money

    Reply to this comment

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